Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.409305 0.482300 0.562699 0.657571 0.766193 0.886398 1.029209
2024-10-20 0.290214 0.384417 0.498815 0.646849 0.832098 1.054921 1.341731
2024-10-27 0.216926 0.318376 0.452412 0.639894 0.892340 1.217081 1.662396
2024-11-03 0.173949 0.279311 0.429046 0.652763 0.972905 1.407933 2.035601
2024-11-10 0.141653 0.246910 0.406666 0.659722 1.041582 1.585474 2.404763
2024-11-17 0.116609 0.219434 0.385259 0.662248 1.100534 1.751267 2.769052
2024-11-24 0.098825 0.199633 0.371498 0.672663 1.169784 1.935357 3.172657
2024-12-01 0.083393 0.180435 0.354931 0.674888 1.224304 2.099502 3.557100
2024-12-08 0.067374 0.156529 0.325846 0.650881 1.231512 2.187913 3.828414
2024-12-15 0.060206 0.148522 0.324066 0.674043 1.319699 2.412355 4.331413
2024-12-22 0.053386 0.139735 0.319204 0.690354 1.396562 2.622841 4.825263
2024-12-29 0.050047 0.137928 0.327750 0.732789 1.523920 2.927709 5.496498
2025-01-05 0.042486 0.124880 0.311539 0.725399 1.559872 3.079707 5.923845
2025-01-12 0.035943 0.112775 0.295354 0.715865 1.590651 3.224941 6.350337
2025-01-19 0.030641 0.102523 0.281490 0.709085 1.625555 3.379504 6.803027
2025-01-26 0.027362 0.096985 0.277658 0.723486 1.704227 3.620784 7.428162
2025-02-02 0.024166 0.090854 0.271308 0.731227 1.769474 3.840681 8.027098
2025-02-09 0.021177 0.084531 0.263350 0.734039 1.824159 4.043407 8.605677
2025-02-16 0.018939 0.079995 0.259263 0.745456 1.898319 4.289236 9.280774
2025-02-23 0.016653 0.074627 0.251956 0.747897 1.952475 4.498087 9.895961
2025-03-02 0.013766 0.066166 0.234310 0.721625 1.938423 4.565763 10.236490
2025-03-09 0.012771 0.064538 0.236372 0.746977 2.046695 4.895158 11.118631
2025-03-16 0.011668 0.062138 0.235678 0.764825 2.138588 5.195446 11.957690